Everyday I'm getting more convinced that Balaji might have been right. 

My conviction is still pretty low (ca. 4-5%) but it started from 1%.

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"They're the same picture" https://i.imgur.com/kFXiVkV.png

If they're the same picture, how come the dollar didn't hyperinflate after the first two? :)

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Slowly slowly then all of a sudden. It did, just there was no way to measure before BTC. You can always control Gold metrics and CPI. BTC is credibly neutral third party. To bring btc down you have to do things that make system break. Fed flinched at first sign of weakness and BTC was here to call the bluff. Idk my 2¢

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What would happen to BTC if all the US on/off ramps lost access to fiat?

So if US banking rails were permanently cut tonight, do you think the price of Bitcoin is higher or lower one month later?

That to me is the single most interesting part of the bet Balaji made. The assumption is that it would collapse. But there is a world where people get more desperate to get on-boarded. Because the US has shown weakness by acknowledging it as a threat. Now it’s not the off-ramp that shrunk but the on-ramp. Btc=a milli