prediction markets are amazing

truly the pinnacle of human innovation

you can ask them “who’s going to win the elections?”

and through the sheer power of cryptography, free markets, and censorship resistance, they answer:

“either trump or kamala”

Highly skewed by intensity spikes. Human intelligence predicted this result before the big events, debate et al. Mirrors pre existing ideological split. Notice the amount of money spent on candidates that never had a remote chance. Most of the bets were always made when the candidates were having a moment with the media. Great for polymarket.