In you're in favor of "AI safety" (broad definition), what's your most compelling cast-length argument?

if toddlers were able to make an adult human from scratch would they be able to control it?

What evidence do you have that we are even close to achieving that level of cognitive and effective disparity?

Best estimate for someday and sooner than we think

This is where the safety argument breaks down. It’s worrying about a risk that’s based on faith (ie religious) vs. scientific in nature.

I don’t think we’re close to that personally but it’s just about mitigating tail risk right? We might be someday, and it could be sooner than we think

Humans have never dealt with an entity that’s more intelligent and capable than us so feels like it makes sense to tread carefully

human intelligence in terms of processing peaks around mid-20s, this seems offset with collection of memory and knowledge throughout life (wisdom), i think ai is closer to the reverse. also don't think the singularity can be predicted in the sense that you're asking for evidence that it's close