politics

Early voting totals, polls and markets seem to indicate either GOP landslide—or an Election Day collapse (because so many voted early, some GOP voters stay home because of perceived lead, strong turn out from Dems, indpts and dual hate break for Harris).

Kalshi at $100M in volume negating “Americans can’t bet” argument. Robinhood launching trading will also add liquidity. Maybe some big trader will take EV+ Kamala 3x bet in size over the weekend.

I am predicting and bet on TRUMP WIN, but my friend who works in politics keeps telling me I live in a bubble & that the "on the ground" / "get out the vote" efforts of Kamala are far more sophisticated than Trump's. 

I am hoping to print out and send his own message back to him in 1 week

Wallfacer Labs (https://linktr.ee/wallfacerlabs)

Use @vaultsfyi //

@ryanrodenbaugh everywhere

Reading Nate Silver everyday: 

> The forecast is holding steady and the race is well within toss-up range.