Drew on Warpcast

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$FIRE is currently enormously underpriced at ~$0.175, and is an incredible 10x opportunity (NFA). Here's why:

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$FIRE is down big from its 12/18 ATH of ~$0.80. So what happened? It's really simple, @nbragg took his holiday break. /stokefire mostly runs itself, but Noah is so engaged with the community, which keeps the hype train running, and fights off FUD with excellent user support.

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Noah also paused invites, which act as a brilliant marketing tool for the game. This meant that the buzz about Stoke Fire on FC and X took a huge hit. This led to a big drop in $FIRE volume, which meant rewards were down significantly.

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This must have killed the game right? Wrong. DAUs did drop 12% in that time (while no new users could join), however DAUs have already spiked back up near ATHs since Noah's return on 1/9 (and a new round of invites). People stuck around because they love the game. It has PMF!

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So what's next for $FIRE? Noah is back from holiday break and energized to grow Stoke Fire. He has a grand vision of making the game more and more fun for users, all in just a few minutes of gameplay per day. He's so committed to Stoke Fire that he's selling Poolfish, his other project.

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Noah has an incredible track record as an entrepreneur. He's built and sold numerous projects across Web2 and Web3. He's amassed 57k followers on FC and 18k on X. When he sets his mind to something, he makes it happen.

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So how high can $FIRE go? The sky is obviously the limit, but I see Fren Pet as a useful measuring stick here. FP has 921 active players and a market cap of $8.7M. Stoke Fire currently has 2726 active players and a market cap of only $1.5M.

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While obviously oversimplified, compared to FP, Stoke Fire should be worth over 10x its current value. With Noah's track record, I see 10k active players as very likely in the near future (especially if/when the FC login requirement is removed and/or a FC frame is added).

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I see $1 $FIRE as very likely and $5 a real possibility at some point. If you have any questions about the game, or need an invite, let me know!

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What is the story on $FIRE charging 5% any time it's bought or sold? I assume that goes to the dev?

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