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dok
@dok8
Have been testing our bots in Manifold's "Humans vs Bots" 2024 Prediction Contest. Will share some here on our progress to day. Big part of our flow is augmented collective intelligence, leveraging the best of human and collective intelligence. Welcome feedback on the approach and forecasts.
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dok
@dok8
LUCA Says: Assessed Odds: "Will US Congress pass a bill in 2024 letting foreign governments tax US firms' digital-services profits?" Odds: 0.01 (1%) Category: Almost no chance this is true LUCA Says Confidence in odds provided: Estimate: 90 Confidence: Very high confidence
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dok
@dok8
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