The probability of Ethereum breaking through these support levels depends on several factors. If the bearish sentiment in the Bitcoin market is extremely strong and accompanied by negative news in the overall cryptocurrency market, such as new regulatory crackdowns, the likelihood of breaking through the support levels will increase. However, if Ethereum has its own positive news, such as the successful implementation of a major upgrade in its smart - contract technology, it may be able to hold above the support levels even when Bitcoin is in a bear market.