“comfy in spot” is also a lifestyle + mindset. how emotionally regulated are your decisions? how dependent are you on tail outcomes, how secure do you feel in the way you spend your time/energy? how healthy is your baseline mode of operating?

Considering the downside first and your invalidating thesis is paramount to making rational decisions in an ever irrational market- everyone considers financial risk, but what about the psychological risk- is your mental framework secure enough to withstand the short- term volatility?