Justin Wise on Warpcast

Justin Wise pfp

@crackingcrypto

Happy Tuesday, friends! As the market digests a favorable PPI print today in anticipation of tomorrow’s CPI print - I’d like to remind you of the most important tool you can possess to grow your trading and investment account. 🧵

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Justin Wise pfp

@crackingcrypto

It’s not alpha information (although that can help). Allow me a quick minute to rant about ‘alpha,’ even though I understand the perceived irony of ranting about the concept of alpha while the title of my report is the Alpha Report—mea culpa.

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Justin Wise pfp

@crackingcrypto

The idea of Alpha is often referred to in the trading and investment circles as the Holy Grail. To be frank, within crypto, most people perceive alpha as Knowing when a token will pump and when it will dump. In traditional finance, there’s a word for that: insider information/insider trading.

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Justin Wise pfp

@crackingcrypto

There is a lot of that inside crypto. Whales or insiders can easily manipulate low-market-capitalization projects. The VC strategy of token allocation is successful in traditional finance and cryptocurrency. The prevalence of pump-and-dump groups also highlights the “success” of this process.

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Justin Wise pfp

@crackingcrypto

However, for you, the retail trader at the end of the totem pole, little alpha information is likely to come your way. Nothing you read on Crypto X is alpha; by the time it’s there, the actual alpha has already been acted upon. That’s why you never see a post of a $1M MC project going sideways, but you’ll see tons of posts once that same token has pumped to $10-$100M. When ‘alpha’ becomes public, it’s generally just bait for exit liquidity.

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Justin Wise pfp

@crackingcrypto

I want to use this example to highlight something that both pump and dumpers and “whale insiders” have in common, at least the successful ones: a strategy. Sure, it’s not the most admirable strategy, but I guarantee you that if you talk to those successful traders within those circles, what they do, they don’t do randomly. They have a strategy; they stick to it, the strategy makes money, and they repeat the process.

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Justin Wise pfp

@crackingcrypto

Suppose you want to be privy to inside information. In that case, you need to embark on a long journey of rubbing elbows, entrenching yourselves within communities, and providing value to receive value in return. However, this is a dangerous strategy as there is no guarantee of success. Even if you are “lucky” enough to receive some inside information, you still have to pull the trigger at the right time. Nobody is going to spoon-feed you a profitable trade or investment.

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Justin Wise pfp

@crackingcrypto

I don’t recommend you follow this path; instead, I recommend you learn this lesson from the preceding: successful people faithfully execute a winning strategy when the odds are in their favor. If you’re serious about turning your trading into a business, the same should be true.

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Justin Wise pfp

@crackingcrypto

You’re not here to baselessly speculate every single day. You’re here to sharpen your saw, niche down your strategy, and faithfully execute it whenever an opportunity appears where you have positive Expected Value. You’re not here to force a trade, gamble just to be in a trade, or baselessly speculate. You’re here to make money.

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Justin Wise pfp

@crackingcrypto

The only way to do that consistently is to define, refine, and execute a strategy. Whether you want to trade leveraged high caps, spot buy meme coins, or invest in early-stage start-ups, you need a strategy. Make today the day you commit to strategic trading and move away from senseless gambling. To a better and brighter future, friends!

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