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Key Levels
POC: $93,634
VWAP: $100,481
Value Area High: $102,185 - $103,823
Value Area Low: $97,139 - $98,777
Next Liquidity Zone Above: $103,550 - $104,267
Next Liquidity Zone Below: $96,522 - $98,580
Generally, following big breakouts like this, Bitcoin does not pullback very much and just continues aggressively. Nevertheless, this is a higher-risk type of entry. I recommend setting limit bids at $99,700 as I see a liquidity gap (likely a dip target). If Bitcoin keeps pushing, we should move rapidly for the next liquidity zone above. 1 reply
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Strategy:
While enthusiastic, discipline as a trader and following our pre-plan is essential for long-term success. We still face a potential bull trap between $100,000 - $108,000, and Bitcoin has key catalysts coming up in the form of the Interest Rate Print (15th), Trump’s Inauguration (20th), and FOMC Decision (29th).
As I originally outlined, I don’t expect the Fed to pivot on interest rate decisions until March or May, which means Bitcoin is unlikely to sustain a continued rally above the current ATH until that event occurs.
While I would love to be wrong, I expect a reversal in Bitcoin’s price somewhere around $105,000 - $108,000 unless something crazy happens following Trump’s inauguration (sighing of SBR on day one?).
Therefore, I recommend taking partial profits on Bitcoin longs opened up at or below $95,000. Move your Stop Loss to $95,000 or slightly above, and continue to hold positions.
Look for re-entries on pullbacks to the key levels identified above. 1 reply
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