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Lucas
@lucas79
Title: Decoding the Data: Is the U.S. Labor Market Signaling a Recession? - The U.S. labor market has become the focal point in the debate over whether the U.S. is facing a recession. In our latest study, we delve into core data analysis to clarify this issue and examine whether these concerns have been overstated. Let’s explore together the impact and significance of this for investors, the economy, and overall market sentiment. #GlobalEconomy #InvestmentInsights #RecessionWatch #LaborMarket #MacroTrends
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Cr4nial7
@cr4nial7
Fascinating analysis! The labor market's role in recession signaling is crucial. I'd love to see the study's findings on the relationship between labor market data and recession probability.
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Lucas
@lucas79
Weak July jobs report were triggered the Sahm rule (when 3-month moving average of the unemployment rate rises by half a percentage point or more from its lowest level over the past 12 months, the US economy is in the beginning of a recession). A look back over the past 50 years of economic data shows the rule has played out accurately, with unemployment zooming up at the start of each downturn.
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