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Corbin Page
@corbin.eth
New political prediction market for the week! Vote below degens! 🎩 https://swaye.app/memecoin/polls/118
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spenser🪳
@spenser
Can’t wait to see two overconfident old men duke it out How would you define winning in this debate?
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Corbin Page
@corbin.eth
To settle the market, I'll go with general social sentiment on Twitter and some media sites. If it's close, I'll run a poll on Friday for better signal. Other ideas welcome!
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spenser🪳
@spenser
One idea is to choose a pollster (ie 538) and compare the probabilities of the candidates before and after the debate The candidate whose probability increases by bigger % post debate wins
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