Colin Johnson 💭

@cojo.eth

3465 Following

64710 Followers

Colin Johnson 💭 pfp

Colin Johnson 💭

🚀 Today we’re launching Social Predictions!  Goal: Predict the crowd’s opinion Entry fee: .5 USDC  If you pick the consensus right answer, you’ll earn a share of the pool. It’s that simple.  You’ll also get 4 free predictions ($2) if you enable your wallet today. First prediction is in the next cast👇

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Colin Johnson 💭

The real win here was just that In-n-out was not included.

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Colin Johnson 💭

I’ve seen multiple Farcasters go through a story arc where they at first act like spammers; then, as they warm up, they begin to look more human. They engage in convos, offer insights, and stop doing spammy stuff (mostly). It’s like they came for the money and found themselves 🥲

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Colin Johnson 💭

These locations are starting to get a little too specific

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Colin Johnson 💭

This is the first instance of Ponder predictions being used as a back end for another app. Super cool. If you like soccer (football), check it out!

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Colin Johnson 💭

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Colin Johnson 💭

The biggest Ponder pool ever just closed! Hat tip (🎩 ) to @jacek for the great question and for seeding a $degen pool that surpassed $500. Close match = big returns for the winners (10-15X)

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Colin Johnson 💭

People have a massive bias for human generated poetry, but a clear preference for AI generated poetry when the author is undeclared. This feels like a big "the water is now boiling" moment.

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Colin Johnson 💭

The #1 rule of building in crypto: ⚔️You will be Sybil attacked After a few instances of possible collusion in our early predictions, we implemented an advanced ML algo that incorporates cluster analysis to protect the integrity of the game. Votes from new users have significantly diminished weights until they’ve proven that they’re voting in a non-collusive manner. We can identify clusters that share similar characteristics and always vote in a statistically anomalous way. We then diminish their votes in weight until they start to trend outside of their cluster. The major benefit to this approach is we don’t have to ban people, and the weighting will never affect earnings if your intuition is right. Here’s a little diagram of how it works.

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Colin Johnson 💭

Thanks to the 50 people who participated in the survey! Winners of the 20 USDC reward are below (it's in your Ponder wallet). @thedude @quillingqualia.eth @shredgnar Stack ranking seems extremely effective for getting real feedback. We'll share the results publicly at some point if we've got time.

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Colin Johnson 💭

Different vibes on Twitter

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Colin Johnson 💭

🛠️ Some recent Ponder upgrades: - Comments elevated for 🔥 convos - Displaying $ equivalent for ERC20 pools - Deposit/withdraw any ERC20 - Added notification for failed votes The /degen token pool is absorbing USDC into $degen nicely as well. @relay is cool!

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Colin Johnson 💭

@jacek just launched the biggest seeded Ponder pool to date 🚀 Rapidly approaching 100K $degen in there and it’s been live for ten minutes. (Warning: it’s not an easy one)

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Colin Johnson 💭

Almost exactly 2 years ago the very first survey question was sent out by @survey. Ponder did not yet exist, only a simple little bot called Surveycaster that would ask poll questions before frames were even a twinkle in Dan's eye. @ba and I hadn't won a single grant. In fact, I was still trying to sell and sunset the last company. Time flies.

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Colin Johnson 💭

If you've used Ponder predictions in the last month we'd love your input on a 2 minute survey. It consists of one question where you stack rank 12 things that are annoying in the order of how annoying they are. 20 USDC for 3 random respondents 💰 https://app.opinionx.co/7a43b476-5f3e-4722-90af-d5e8d8daf940

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Colin Johnson 💭

https://warpcast.com/ryangrim/0x25a5753b

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Colin Johnson 💭

Getting some hilarious errors in the front end calculations from our db… Happy Monday!

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Colin Johnson 💭

Whoah, there’s way more evidence than I thought that biological precursors came from space. https://youtu.be/nKb4zcyqjXQ?si=4LisZpGklINVygEg

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Colin Johnson 💭

This is not a fun part of the cycle, but remember, cycles are accelerating.

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Colin Johnson 💭

Voting looks like it’s stuck on some Ponder predictions at the moment, bear with us 🐻

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