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The rise of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is one of the biggest questions in AI research. While current AI models, including large language models, are incredibly powerful, they are still narrow AI—highly specialized in specific tasks but lacking true autonomy, reasoning, and self-improvement abilities.
When Will AI Become Truly Autonomous?
Predicting the exact timeline for AGI is difficult, but there are a few major perspectives:
1. Optimists (2030s-2040s): Some experts, like Ray Kurzweil, predict that AGI could emerge by the 2030s, with full human-level intelligence appearing before 2045. Advances in deep learning, neuro-symbolic AI, and scaling laws support this view.
2. Cautious Predictions (2050s-2100): Many AI researchers believe AGI is still decades away, citing challenges in reasoning, common sense, and adaptability. They argue that current AI lacks true understanding, self-awareness, and goal-setting abilities beyond human programming. 0 reply
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