HuntTown

Accuracy? Forecast Market >> Polls (Polymarket Hits 94%!)

1️⃣ High Accuracy in Predictions

Polymarket demonstrates 90% accuracy for one-month forecasts and 94% accuracy just hours before events.
Analysis by Alex McCullough excluded extreme probability markets to ensure reliable data.

2️⃣ Influence of Market Type and Biases

Long-term markets, like political predictions, tend to be more accurate due to clear outcomes.
Biases such as herd mentality and low liquidity may impact predictions, particularly in smaller markets.

3️⃣ Growing Impact on Politics and Sports

Polymarket’s predictions rival traditional political polls.
Sports betting markets, with $4.5 billion in wagers, show increasing accuracy over time.

I think this is scientifically proved
you always share interesting news THX!!
1000👏🏻

Super interesting! 90% accuracy is impressive. Does this mean we can predict one-month futures on Polymarket in 9 out of 10 cases?

5777 $hunt