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Mac Budkowski ᵏ
@macbudkowski
2013 Polish light tank concept Would be cool to have more futuristic looking tanks
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Cameron Armstrong
@cameron
@dwr.eth @macbudkowski The primitives of all modern warfare are Fire + Movement Over the past 20 years, we've basically entered an era where the definition of "Fire" has gotten significantly broader and more dynamic It's no longer constrained to the elements immediately in the battlespace and there's every reason to think this will only accelerate with other new vertical attack vectors (tungsten rods from space anyone?) The big question rn is that no modern military has really figured out the Movement part for today. Tanks in US doctrine ofc aren't a standalone unit - they are part of a "combined arms battalion" with mounted + dismounted infantry as screening + support against most low-ish tech "tank killers". This includes dudes with shotguns shooting drones out of the air (yes this is real). Additionally, the top is usually the least armored part of the tank and as such tanks have always been weak in urban environments. Cheap drones have just extended that weakness into non-urban environments. 1/
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ccarella
@ccarella.eth
I would really love you take on how AI will likely effect military strategy.
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Cameron Armstrong
@cameron
will need to cook more to have a big coherent one, but lightning round thoughts: - The military is full of "ain't no robot gonna be smarter than me" energy so will be a lot of resistance at strategic, operational, and tactical levels - It will be much more impactful in "greasing the gears of war" at first (providing supplementary perspective on live battle maps, parsing large amounts of radio traffic in other languages into insights, suggesting probably area unit locations, etc) vs replacing any line leader decisionmaking - AI Latency vs op tempo alignment will make or break unit trust in AI systems (if it takes 20 seconds to get a coherent response from battle AI in a 5 second fight context, it's worthless)
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ccarella
@ccarella.eth
My concern is 100% around China getting to it first as their energy may be different and then losing superiority.
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Cameron Armstrong
@cameron
The previous post sorta hints at it, but the challenge with AI in the military is mostly an integrative one vs a software problem so whoever can create a general purpose form factor that works (doubtful) OR develop thousands of microtools at the point of utility will ultimately "win" the conventional military AI fight
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