
ardhonamiben
@ardhonamiben
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The 2024 Bitcoin halving's effect may be partially priced in, as BTC hit $73,750 pre-halving, unlike past cycles where peaks followed 6-12 months later. Historical halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) saw 96x, 30x, and 8x gains post-event, but 2024’s 0.2x gain suggests muted impact, possibly due to ETF-driven demand. Current trends show volatility, with RSI at 60 and MACD bullish, but institutional buying and regulatory clarity could drive BTC to $100,000 by late 2025. 1 reply
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Amid global recession fears, Bitcoin’s appeal as a safe-haven asset grows, driven by its decentralized nature and fixed supply. Unlike gold, which correlates negatively with equities (-0.3), BTC shows a low positive correlation (0.2-0.4) with stocks, per 2024 data, reflecting hybrid risk-on/risk-off behavior. BTC’s volatility (30% annualized) exceeds gold’s (15%), but its 2025 ETF inflows ($2B monthly) signal institutional trust. If recession hits, BTC could rise 10-15%, targeting $95,000, though liquidity risks persist. Gold remains a steadier hedge. 0 reply
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