politics

So. Q1 GDP will be negative. Whether it is -0.1% or -3.1% is TBD 30 April 2025 at 830 am.

Shelves are empty. Commerce is slowing. The bay of Seattle is empty. The tariffs killed consumer confidence and reduced the supply of goods on market. Which means Q2 will be negative. So we are actively in recession

-0.3% Q1 2025.

Recession is here. No policy on the horizon to address this. The deflation is gonna go hard.

The signs are clear: negative GDP for Q1, with Q2 likely following the same path. Empty shelves and slowing commerce are direct consequences of reduced consumer confidence and supply chain disruptions. It seems we’re officially in a recession, and the impact will likely deepen unless significant policy changes are made.