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thoughts on a few fun predictions from @fredwilson.eth: 4. A decentralized clinical trial attracts millions of participants and produces a favorable outcome, Trump's FDA approves the drug and celebrates the approach > Pfizers already done "decentralized" CTs; digital tools like wearables significantly broaden sample size because anyone can participate from home (Apple's Heart & Movement study enrolled 400k via iphone/watch); Trump supports "right-to-try" 5. A housekeeper bot named Judy is launched by Dyson and it becomes a massive success, selling millions of units > Robot vacuum market is already growing ~25% annually; this would hit w/ women who spend 4.5 hrs/day on domestic work vs. men's 1.7 hrs (but maybe change the name) 12. TikTok turns all videos into memecoins that can traded on decentralized exchanges all over the world > TikTok optimizes for revenue; tokenization could drive new revenue streams through launch fees (like pump) or txn fees (like uniswap) and decrease cost of its creator program
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shared in fam GC from Scottie Pippen: Kobe is a 5x NBA Champion. He also holds the all-time record for missed shots. Serena Williams is a 23x Gram Slam Champion. She also holds the record for the most unforced errors in a single match. Novak Djokovic is a 24x Grand Slam Champion. He also holds the record for the most tennis final losses in history. These aren't contradictions, they are proof of what it takes to win at the highest levels. Winners don't succeed in spite of failure, they succeed because of failure. While others shield themselves from the sting of defeat, winners run towards it. They take big risks and put their reputation on the line, knowing that whatever happens, they'll come out a more competent opponent on the other side. To double your rate of success, you have to double your rate of failure. The more you learn about what doesn't work, the more you understand what does. Everything changes when you reframe losses like this. Failure isn't the enemy of success, it's the foundation.
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