Geopolitics

Geopolitics

Where geography, politics, and international relations meet. This channel aims for high-quality discussions. No domestic US politics. Tag @lsn for an invite.

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What a way to begin 2026, so looking forward to 2030. -- But Masala’s scenario predicts an attack much sooner, with the Kremlin acting in 2028 on what it thinks is a reluctance by NATO to enact its Article 5 collective defense pledge and risk World War III against a nuclear-armed adversary. However, if Article 5 is not invoked in such a scenario, then “NATO comes to an end—NATO falls apart,” Masala told Newsweek.. https://www.newsweek.com/how-a-russian-invasion-of-nato-might-play-out-10895373

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4 days ago I was predicting that counting on Trump as a "peacemaker" will lead to Israeli gov halting the aid and restarting full-scale genocide by the end of the year in reality, Trump's <new era of peace in the Middle East> did not survive until the end of the week https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2025/oct/19/gaza-ceasefire-israel-hamas-rafah-hostages-middle-east-crisis-live-news-updates

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2025 may not be the most fortunate year for the world, but at least it still finds ways to surprise us

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/10/18/putin-trump-donetsk-war-ukraine/ “In the call between Trump and Putin, the Russian leader suggested he would be willing to surrender parts of two other regions of Ukraine he has partly conquered, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson, in exchange for full control of Donetsk, the officials said.” There’s no chance Putin will withdraw troops from these two regions. Most likely, we’re talking about a freeze based on the current situation on the ground and in exchange, he gets the Donetsk region. Who would ever agree to that?…

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“Péter Szijjártó, the foreign minister of Hungary […] criticised Polish leaders for ‘celebrating a terrorist’ and the Polish court for effectively ‘giving permission for terrorist attacks in Europe’ […] Earlier this week, Italy’s top court also blocked the extradition to Germany of another Ukrainian suspected of involvement in the Nord Stream sabotage.” https://notesfrompoland.com/2025/10/19/i-did-not-blow-up-nord-stream-says-suspect-in-first-interview-after-extradition-ruling/

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Fuck Trump. Ukrainians are home!!! It’s the russians who need to get the fuck out and leave. Pathetic both-siding and equating victims with the aggressor - but what else can you expect from these brainless administration. https://www.financialexpress.com/world-news/us-news/stop-the-battle-go-home-to-families-us-president-calls-for-end-of-russia-ukraine-conflict-after-meeting-zelenskyy/4014829/

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Financial advice: never send your gold for safekeeping to Tsarist Russia. https://tvpworld.com/89480785/romanias-quest-to-get-back-90-tons-of-gold-held-by-russia-since-1917

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“Miriam Lexmann, a centre-right lawmaker previously sanctioned by Beijing, said she was ‘shocked’ to hear her Chinese counterparts’ diagnosis of the problems leading to the war.” “I guess I'll have to read that wiki article on China I bookmarked a decade ago,” she added, visibly fazed. https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3329301/eu-and-china-lawmakers-spar-over-russia-taiwan-first-talks-2018

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“The judge noted that the German authorities had submitted to Poland ‘only very general information’ about the case – so little that it ‘can fit on a single A4 sheet of paper’”. https://notesfrompoland.com/2025/10/17/polish-court-refuses-to-extradite-ukrainian-nord-stream-sabotage-suspect-to-germany/

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Déjà vu and the not the good kind, wonder how many of these players were part of the 2008 crisis. We never learn. Banking stocks across the globe sold off on Friday, as fears about bad U.S. loans spilled over into equity markets beyond the United States. U.S. stock markets were rattled on Thursday amid mounting concerns about poor lending practices, after lenders Zions and Western Alliance disclosed bad loans. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/17/global-bank-stocks-sell-off-as-fears-mount-over-bad-loans.html

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Look at the drone market. It’s full of drones that look like ours. Walk into a store right now, and you can buy any drone you want. https://www.iranintl.com/en/202510166679

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Haven't listened to this pod yet, but the clip came across my feed. Was interesting to hear how ready/prepared China's manufacturing base is to switch to War Mode if need be. It seemed like that was really what boosted the US in WWII, but also seems like something we've lost since that...and thats...scary. https://youtu.be/Bpa16gQt9ok?si=kP30NxfExEHY9tB1

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