Main

2035
Trillionaire is the new millionaire.
Quintillionaire, the new billionaire.
Meanwhile, everybody else is an UBI-bitch.

cars

People are quick to judge EV's by their current limitations, not by their near-future possibilities. By 2026, we'll have a wave of next-gen battery tech hitting consumer markets at scale and it could transform the automotive industry. https://electrek.co/2024/04/08/byd-launch-next-gen-ev-battery-more-range-lower-price/

Chinese EVs are going to play a big role in motoring in the near-future

Whilst fictional, this book presents the most plausible account I’ve read of possible events leading to a war between the USA & China. The role of India as peacemaker and ultimate beneficiary seems particularly prescient:

2034: A Novel of the Next World War by Elliot Ackerman and James G. Stavridis

A thread of some of my favourite Futurist quotes:

"“We have no future because our present is too volatile. We have only risk management. The spinning of the given moment's scenarios. Pattern recognition.” ― William Gibson, Pattern Recognition (which I really liked, even it if lacked a resolution)

1/3

is the future internet going to be less or more private than society today?

maybe a measure of this is "fraction of the world's thoughts that are private/semi-private (groupchat, family dinner, etc.) vs. public (fc/x)" in the future

The argument that the probability that there will only be 200b people vs 200t people because you are born around 100b mark isn’t sound.  

This model would be tested to all 100b people leading up to now, and would have failed 50b times and have 0 successes.  So by that logic this model is a bad predictor.

I don’t think Bostrom’s technology urn doomsday argument makes sense as a great filter.  A civilization that was one connected organism wouldn’t destroy itself. So the galaxy should be filled with them given that it takes 20m years to populate it using nuclear propulsion.

When did we get a Futurist channel? I've been a Futurist keynote speaker since 2011. Excited to follow the channel and meet otheres here interested in futurism!

Two more canonical Futurist texts, frequently cited in crypto, include:

Howe, N., and Strauss, W. (1992). 'Generations: The History of America's Future, 1584 to 2069'.

Howe, N., and Strauss, W. (2019). 'The Fourth Turning: What the Cycles of History Tell Us About America's Next Rendezvous with Destiny'.

Crypto/web3. Author of Read Write Own

readwriteown.com

political organizer → 
@protocolguild

arts and crafts → 
Stateful Works

Rio de Janeiro, State of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Crypto commentators with a futurist bent:

@balajis.eth
@olaf
@avsa
@cdixon.eth
@ricburton
@trustlessstate
@0xstark
@trent

Please add names I have missed

Another title I somehow neglected to mention:

The Sovereign Individual: Mastering the transition to the information age - James Dale Davidson and Lord Reeg-Mogg

This is one the most commonly cited texts and a personal favourite for Futurists in crypto like myself

Staring this channel with a selection of books commonly appearing in people's recommended reading lists on this topic:

Sapiens & Homo Deus - Noah Yuval Harari
Generations - William Strauss
The Singularity Is Near & The Singularity is Nearer - Ray Kurtzweil