A channel focused on exploring future scenarios through strategic foresight and futures thinking.

*The future is a tool*

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Strategic foresight

july

Leo Rogers in the article discusses a pervasive global crisis in self-esteem.

https://psyche.co/ideas/the-masculinity-crisis-is-actually-a-crisis-of-self-esteem

I’d also argue that the self-esteem crisis in men fuels gender wars. As traditional roles fade, many struggle for worth, leading to resentment and backlash. In unequal societies, where status competition is fierce, this only deepens gender tensions.

https://www.arxiv.org/abs/2412.12140

This study reveals that AI models like Meta's Llama31-70B-Instruct and Alibaba's Qwen25-72B-Instruct can now self-replicate without human input, obviously posing new risks.

It makes me think about the difference between computing power, which grows exponentially, and our brains, which remain largely unchanged. One can't help but think that with advances like this, it is only a matter of time before the gap is bridged, reinforcing the urgency for governance as self-replicating AI becomes a reality. (via Sentiers)

Matt Klein’s yearly meta analysis.

https://zine.kleinkleinklein.com/p/meta-trends-2025

Cosmic whispers reveal a new player in the quantum game - Google's Willow Chip accelerating time to market, and my heart is racing with the possibilities 💫 https://decrypt.co/295678/googles-new-willow-chip-accelerates-time-to-market-for-quantum-computing-experts-say

Noema's Top 10 Reads of 2024

https://www.noemamag.com/noemas-top-10-reads-of-2024

Always a challenge for any practicing futurist.  

"How to decide which foresight tools to use on a project."

Always a challenge for any practicing futurist.  

"How to decide which foresight tools to use on a project."

https://www.iftf.org/insights/how-to-decide-which-foresight-tools-to-use-on-a-project/

The past feels more unpredictable than the future. Memories always seem to drift away from how things really felt at the time.

The inaugural issue of Long Now’s new annual print journal.

The inaugural issue of Long Now’s new annual print journal.

https://longnow.org/ideas/pace-layers-journal-02024/

Build Your Own Commissioner
— a framework and workshop approach to help find a practical way to start enacting the Declaration for Future Generations.

Framework
https://smithery.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/BYOC-Framework-v0.4-Lighter.pdf

Slides

Build Your Own Commissioner
— a framework and workshop approach to help find a practical way to start enacting the Declaration for Future Generations.

Framework
https://smithery.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/BYOC-Framework-v0.4-Lighter.pdf

Slides
https://smithery.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Build-Your-Own-Commissioner-DFF-2024.pdf

Some smart people on here. Is anyone on Warpcast?

Some smart people on here. Is anyone on Warpcast?

https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/386449/2024-future-perfect-50-progress-ai-climate-animal-welfare-innovation

Why every company needs a futurist-in-residence

Why every company needs a futurist-in-residence

https://www.ideo.com/journal/why-every-company-needs-a-futurist-in-residence

Engineering

It’s happening - 2nm ASML EUVs are coming to Japan

https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/11/15/news-japans-rapidus-to-receive-first-euv-in-mid-december-with-asml-planning-service-center-nearby/

Scenario time again! 🗺

Four scenarios that explore potential futures where AI either 
🤝 Enhances human collaboration,
🐢 Causes inefficiencies,
🤖 Displaces workers, or
🚧 Remains limited in its applications.

Scenario time again! 🗺

Four scenarios that explore potential futures where AI either 
🤝 Enhances human collaboration,
🐢 Causes inefficiencies,
🤖 Displaces workers, or
🚧 Remains limited in its applications. 

https://www.futuresplatform.com/blog/future-of-work-ai-in-the-workplace-scenarios

Are we on the brink of a “technology supercycle,” where breakthroughs in three connected fields—AI, biotechnology, and smart sensors—will reshape our economy and society as profoundly as the wheel and the steam engine once did?

Are we on the brink of a “technology supercycle,” where breakthroughs in three connected fields—AI, biotechnology, and smart sensors—will reshape our economy and society as profoundly as the wheel and the steam engine once did?

https://www.freethink.com/artificial-intelligence/technology-supercycle

a16z, Microsoft, Meta all engage in messaging the future Trump administration that open source AI will be good for startups and good for America

a16z, Microsoft, Meta all engage in messaging the future Trump administration that open source AI will be good for startups and good for America

https://blogs.microsoft.com/on-the-issues/2024/11/01/ai-for-startups/
https://about.fb.com/news/2024/11/open-source-ai-america-global-security/