DeFi
DeFi Dynamics. Exploring the Future of Finance.
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Not knocking people's opinions here, but claiming the cars safety record was fantastic *after* the engine blew up, it served off the road, crashes into a forest, and killed the 3 passengers is kinda crazy to me. The key point here is probably the main thesis of Taleb: multiplicative risk vs. additive risks. If my neighbor gets in a car crash, it doesn't increase my chances of crashing my car. In Defi, if a protocol suffers an attack, there are downstream effects depending on other smart contracts that use that system. That system can be used in pricing oracles, prediction markets, or other wrapper systems. In this case, there were also numerous forks of the system. Only one system, Berachain, because it's centralized, was able to just halt the flow of funds. OGs are freaking out because Balancer shows what we've been saying for years, teams are absolutely *not* being forward thinking and spending the necessary amounts on guardrails, analytics, real time alerting, and safety. Spending $5M on audits across 5 years is not enough, and the evidence is right in front of everyone's face now. These systems need 6 to 7 Nine's of Safety to really be something mainstream adopters can start using, and we're probably statistically between 1 or 2 Nines. We probably shouldn't be shilling this stuff to Grandma at the Thanksgiving table if we can't even guarantee she won't wake up to losing all her funds. Thanks for coming to my TED talk. Here's a paper about mathematical measures of safety I think everyone should read. Yes, even the vibe coders. https://terrytao.wordpress.com/2021/10/03/nines-of-safety-a-proposed-unit-of-measurement-of-risk/comment-page-1/
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