A channel to discuss sports betting, gambling, casinos, and everything in between. Meant for risk seekers who like to bet on things besides shitcoins. Share picks, strategies, or brutal losses; because at the end of the day, life is one big gamble.

Main

Recent

A “Risk Tolerant” Channel

MNF Goldy’s 🔒: Kirk o0.5 INT + 🦅 ML

PixelGG Weekly Betting Spotlight: 
September 16-22, 2024

Hungry for some action? 

Our Weekly Betting Spotlight is serving up a seven-course meal of mouthwatering matches. 

From the appetizing Serie A to the main course of Champions League, with a side of NFL crunch, our menu is guaranteed to satisfy even the most discerning betting palate.

Theoretically there would be value for any pick here under 50¢, right? Am I thinking about this the right way? @goldytalks

Look, I'm not positive for the season with my bets, but I'm going to stick with what I know—fading the public. How to fade the public? Let's use UNLV vs. Kansas as an example. 

First of you don't need CFB knowledge to do this, but it helps frame things. Kansas is a bigger market, has broader Alumni, and is at home - all things contributing to Kansas fans and your "average Joe" CFB fans betting on Kansas. Put simply, they are a bigger name than UNLV. More people who are just looking for a bet will likely side with Kansas. 1st + sign to bet on UNLV. 

The line opened at -6.5 after their game and stabilized around -7 throughout the week until 9/12. Then look at how it jumped to -9/9.5. This tells us the true spread of the game is around 7, as market makers or "sharps" typically bet right after the odds are released and throughout the week. As the weekend rolls around, bad bettors or "the public" start betting. In this case, the line movement tells us they are jumping on Kansas. Another + sign. Continued...

Coach’s Board:

Arizona v K State O 59.5

Good read about why sports books have limits in place.

Good read about why sports books have limits in place.

https://establishtherun.com/a-discussion-about-limits-in-sports-betting/

Gross bet, but that’s how you bet the NFL:

Bills v Dolphins 1H under 23.5 -105

Great interview with Chad Millman from action on gos to be a smarter bettor. Some great insights.

Great interview with Chad Millman from action on gos to be a smarter bettor. Some great insights. 

https://open.spotify.com/episode/0bcWaxFDU7JUlN7UdbhxyD?si=Dn5R6x2rRhOTMqNmW16U8Q&t=5852&context=spotify%3Ashow%3A5ss1pqMFqWjkOpt6Ag0fZW

Coach’s Board:

Pitt +4 v ATL ✅
Titans +4 v CHI ❌
Cleveland ML v DAL ❌
Chargers -3 v LV ✅

Titans not covering was a tragedy. Having any sort of faith in Cleveland was idiotic.

Coach’s Board:

Texas -6.5 v Michigan
Syracuse ML v GT
Sam Houston State +21.5 v UCF
Auburn -13 v California

CFB Betting thread this week with a bonus NFL Bet. 

Headed back to the well on a few plays this week, and focusing on Big 10 unders + SEC supremacy.

Eagles -2 (1 Unit) because I'm a fan and Go Birds.  

How close am I to losing my shit because of close bets not falling my way to start the season?

This close.

1-2 tonight. Another close one. 

Move to 5-7-1 on the season. We bounce back this weekend.

College Football is back!

Today feels like it marks the true start of the season despite last Saturday's game. 

To celebrate kickoff here are some of my favorite bets this week:

4-5-1 to start the season. Came close to having a really good week, but close isn’t good enough! Will be back with NFL and CFB picks next week!