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Ryan

@wasserbrunner

52 Following
7 Followers
Ryan pfp
Ryan
@wasserbrunner
Has anyone done research on polymarket or prediction markets in general on how accurate they are? As in look at events that are at, say, 75% yes right before the event happens. And is it right exactly 75% of the time?
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Ryan
@wasserbrunner
Can someone enlighten me— how is it ok that it takes 7 DAYS for a transaction on an optimistic rollup to be secured by ethereum? Until that point, it’s in limbo only secured by a few “trusted validators”? Serious question, and I’d love to be missing something
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Ryan
@wasserbrunner
I can’t find a straightforward answer to this question. What percentage of txns are bots?
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Ryan
@wasserbrunner
Has bankless done a based rollup episode yet?
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Ryan
@wasserbrunner
So how has the decentralized aspect of farcaster improved anyone’s user experience? I often forget this app is even decentralized in any way.
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Ryan
@wasserbrunner
“We need apps” “crypto apps” “Ethereum App Store” is becoming a pet peeve of mine. Yes some stand alone crypto apps are useful like uniswap. But REAL adoption comes when crypto is implemented into apps to improve the experience. We don’t need crypto apps we need apps to implement crypto. Same with games.
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Ryan
@wasserbrunner
2017 cycle happened because of new exciting tech. 2021 happened because of the fed/pandemic response (Pokémon cards and cars and houses and GameStop also went wait up). 2024 has no reason to happen. But we are getting a dead cat cycle fueled only by halving and 4yr cycle memers. It may already be petering out sadly.
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Ryan
@wasserbrunner
Anyone else ask themselves why retail would ever come back after 2021? Scams, crash, … they think crypto is cringe. I was here in 2017; it was different. People just kinda said “well that didn’t work” and forgot about crypto. They didn’t think it was cringe. Only reason they come back is for a killer app
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Ryan
@wasserbrunner
Investing in crypto can be dangerous to productivity. It can fill a void within you that strives for success. It can make you feel like you’re going to make it and you don’t have to actually do anything. Maybe it will work, maybe it won’t. Place your bets, then get to work on something else
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