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https://warpcast.com/~/channel/success
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Maretus
@maretus
X has just unveiled a massive update to their creator revenue share program. What do you think of this? Me? I’ll take Farcaster & Moxie over this all day long. https://x.com/x/status/1844066291625361812?s=46
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wake
@wake
been sifting through the actual details of this. there are eligibility requirements, but i can't tell if they're middle of the road or excessive. >must have premium sub... >5m or more organic impressions / 90 days >and 500 or more premium followers x users are compelled to shill x subscriptions to their followers (a shitcoin, basically) on the premise that /up to/ 25% of that revenue will get shared with creators. that "up to" will do a lot of work on behalf of X; it's a global ceiling, but permits them a lot of control over individual payouts. as with their ads program, i assume high profile x users will promote the service hard (like a shitcoin) by showing off their earnings. so it's a ponzu, basically. x users will shill the subscription shitcoin and it isn't likely to produce qDAU (as farcaster has learned the hard way).
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wake
@wake
yeah my intuitive sense of things is: if their ad revenue sharing program worked, users wouldn't be quiet about it. we would know and be researching their successful model. pivoting to p2p engagement payments suggests ad revenue sharing did /not/ work and this alternative method won't work either.
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wake
@wake
we'll see. X is /essentially/ different from farcaster protocol in ways that make the direction that stuff can go very, very different. it might start out looking similar, but centralized revenue goals and poor transparency will change it for the worse over time. x is trying to make money first, and improve the network second. farcaster is trying to improve the network. it keeps no shitcoin as profit. the motive decides the direction.
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wake
@wake
"up to" 25%. Taking directly from their TOS. That matters. Shared among how many users?
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wake
@wake
centralized reward schemes /always/ go down in value as the for-profit company discovers it can get similar work for less pay. twitter is operating at a loss, afaik; seems likely they won't wait long to skim. besides, if it's just incentivizing /frequency/ of interaction between users, coordinated-inauthentic-users (super farmers) will take the lion's share. cc @geoffgolberg thoughts?
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Geoff Golberg
@geoffgolberg
Agree it will be gamed https://x.com/shayan86/status/1844400837453566463
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wake
@wake
certainly, instantly, aggressively, and maliciously. will be interesting to see how obviously bad it ends up and how completely oblivious to it x admin must stay. like the cybertruck or tonight's robotaxi. or they nerf the program quickly, otherwise start constraining it.
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Maretus
@maretus
Seems like they’ll just let it run rampant, then advertise their inflated engagement metrics lol.
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wake
@wake
likely. so run the numbers: content bad people leave bots farm and engage twitter pays farmers... for how long? a luxury ghost town, packed with well paid robots can't last forever, even if they're pocketing 75% of their money. it'll wind down without fresh capital.
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Maretus
@maretus
Let’s hope it follows that trajectory. 😂
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wake
@wake
nah, they'll just quietly nerf it and no one will notice.
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