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vaughn tan

@vt

313 Following
1333 Followers
vaughn tan pfp
vaughn tan
@vt
catalans
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but only if it is explicit and intentional
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this guy's wines go from strength to strength
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so satisfying
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plassat, le bruit, 2023. superb.
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my multiple is at least 10x that 😑
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forgot to channel this to /uncertainty and /strategy
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@vt
A futurist friend recently made an expensive, early exit from the Middle East during a flare-up in the Israel-Iran conflict … then felt embarrassed when the situation de-escalated theatrically. That embarrassment stems from misframing the decision as an optimisation problem — which assumes that precise estimation of risks, probabilities, and timings is possible. It wasn’t. The situation wasn’t only risky, it was also uncertain — marked by capricious actors uninterested in playing by well-understood rules. In uncertain situations, optimisation fails and other frames for decisionmaking make much more sense. The real skill here is correctly diagnosing the kind of not-knowing you’re facing, then choosing a decision frame suited to uncertainty, not just risk. Read it here: https://vaughntan.org/optfallacy
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🙏 🙏 🙏
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yes! (type 4 meaning-making)
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meanwhile, i tried again to use an LLM to help write some text from detailed list of points structured as an argument. wading through the output now and it is not fun at all.
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gm and bonj it is already 32C in marseille and it isn't even noon yet
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red lentils from haute-loire cooked with turmeric, garlic, and onions; blanched broccoli dressed with salted orange and umbrian olive oil; bokchoy that never got tender despite being cooked forever; weird rice that claims to be jasmine but i think was mislabeled; cilantro.
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Anthropic’s experiment with using Claude as an autonomous shopkeeper (“Claudius”) failed — not just because the AI was gullible, but because running even a simple business involves inherently human, meaning-making decisions. Doing business isn’t just executing tasks like pricing or inventory. It’s deciding what matters, what to trade off, and what success looks like. These are subjective choices without correct answers. Until AI systems can make meaning, they shouldn’t be tasked with running businesses on their own. The real question isn’t whether an AI is gullible, but whether the work requires meaning-making. If it does, that work must remain human. More here: https://vaughntan.org/bizmeaningmaking
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i'm about at that ratio also — water just off boiling, to offend some coffee purists
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🤣
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what are the places you are most excited to eat off the street
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💕
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bcm is life
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💕 gotta do some eating together in sg bcm for sure
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