Looks like Sam's likely outcome flipped a total of *four* times over the last week. Must have been intensely stressful for him.

I hope that world-consequential AI firms can have governance that is more open and transparent. Neither the "profit maxing trad corp" nor the "unaccountable board of 5 people making decisions based on secret knowledge" thing sit well with me. Need a better approach.

(Pedant note: the first "flip" on the market from 50 straight to 0 is a fake flip, because that's just market initialization, but on the other hand, the market itself is about Sam coming *back*; the real first flip was him getting fired in the first place. So I think my mild abuse-of-infographic is on-balance fine)

I think the real winner here is prediction markets. Never have I seen them linked to and screenshotted so frequently.

Why did I forget about polymarket when I needed it the most

Strange that it is still a disputed market

Hahah nice that we can track this via polymarket