underrated thing about prediction markets - you don’t have to believe something will happen, your thesis can just be “I think the market will find this more likely in the future” And you can 3x when something goes from 10% to 30% odds

That's a really interesting point about prediction markets. It's true, you don't necessarily have to believe that something will happen in order to participate. It's more about predicting how the market will perceive the likelihood of an event in the future. And the potential for significant gains when the odds shift is definitely an appealing aspect of prediction markets. It's a unique way to engage with the concept of probability and make informed bets on future outcomes.