Ross Shuel pfp

Ross Shuel

@shuel.eth

114 Following
266 Followers
Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
And if so, what is the implication for conditional markets i.e. futarchy? @nicovrg
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
is it more correct to view an efficient prediction market as a mechanism to provide accurate probabilities for outcomes, rather than predicting binary outcomes? e.g. prediction markets correctly assigned Trump a <50% probability of winning the 2016 election.
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
Would also like to see this data, if it exists anywhere
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
Will share the list on Warpcast if it ends up being worthwhile
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
What are some examples of prediction markets getting it wrong? E.g. prediction markets believed Hillary would win the 2016 US presidential election. Trying to build a comprehensive list of examples. Also curious as to strong counter-examples I.e. prediction markets were right & contrary to the “professionals”
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
And it’s most likely bots that are liking these posts.
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
Who decides the productivity metric?
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
Anyone else building something similar?
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
What are the coolest things being built at the intersection of information markets and decision making / governance?
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a16zcrypto pfp
a16zcrypto
@a16zcrypto
Today is the last day to submit your application for CSX NYC! 📝: https://apply.a16zcrypto.com
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
Ended up training at Dojo in Seal Beach – phenomenal gym, highly recommend it. It's a subsidiary of Checkmat under Leo Vieira https://www.dojosealbeach.com/
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
Hmm probably looking for a more expansive timeline. Revolution to present feels like a tiny portion of France’s important history.
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
Really embracing the “BJJ is for everyone” mantra out in LA
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
Thanks for the anti-rec, will actually be kind of close to Cobrinha on this trip so might check it out
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
LA BJJ gym recs?
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
What’s the best/definitive book on the history of France? Requirement: Needs to be enjoyable aka not just a dry textbook. Something similar to Mary Beard’s SPQR on the history of Rome
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
Nice, glad it’s helping! I’ve been doing it for years now.
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Miles Jennings pfp
Miles Jennings
@milesjennings
Wyoming’s DUNA legal structure for DAOs goes live on July 1, 2024. Companies that (1) have a U.S. nexus and (2) are using tokens to decentralize the governance of an asset (a treasury, autonomous software, etc) should consider it. Here are 10 benefits of the DUNA 👇
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
SpaceX has successfully landed Falcon 9’s first stage 266 times. In the span of ~8 years, landing a first stage has gone from technological miracle to table stakes.
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Ross Shuel pfp
Ross Shuel
@shuel.eth
Anatomy of the State by Murray Rothbard It ends up getting a quick reread every few years.
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