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Shant Mesrobian

@shantmm

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I'm really not sold on the idea that AI chatbots will replace search. The vast majority of things I use search for do not have definitive answers. They are things that lack clear consensus. Most of the time I am looking to gather various data points, perspectives, studies, and research papers so that I can form my own personal consensus. I have never found chatbots good for this purpose. A chatbot is essentially like talking to one person. And while that one person may provide me with various sources and perspectives, it isn't like consulting those original sources and perspectives directly. A certain amount of editorializing/consensus is still built into the experience. Occasionally there will be something that is more clear cut and a simple answer from a chatbot suffices. This is why the blended version that Google offers with its gemini-powered AI overview works so well and why I currently think Google's UX is currently winning this. Change my mind. https://x.com/gregisenberg/status/1924468459297009829
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I'm a little late to this but here's my bull case/bear case. Bear: This isn't an amazingly innovative or groundbreaking idea, so it seems like if it was going to be a game changer they would've done it a long time ago. Feels more like desperation. Like picking some old things up from the cutting room floor. Perhaps a way to hide trouble in paradise. Also, the idea that people are dying to find more services and "experiences" to spend their money on just feels very 2010s millennial vibes. Bull: As the economy deteriorates more, people will be looking for new ways to make side income through gig work and side hustles. Airbnb's existing market share will instantly make it the central marketplace for people who don't want to do Uber or Doordash. The problem with this bull case is that if the economy does in fact deteriorate, who's going to pay for all the services and experiences? The top ten percent will not float the entire economy forever. Rating: Mostly Bear https://x.com/bchesky/status/1922364651775385999
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