semerka💓

@semerka

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718 Followers

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JASMY Looks Potentially To Short Targets: $0.021474 - $0.019812 - $0.018277 Stop: 0.025213$

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In January 2021, a couple of months before the crazy ups and downs, there were a lot of similar comments from cryptans in the US: "there will be no alt season", "I'm tired of waiting, I'll sell my alts and keep only bitcoin", "we're peaking, nothing will happen again, coins won't grow now", "everything has changed, there will never be growth like before". It's been 4 years, now everyone is saying the same thing, people's psychology doesn't change for years.

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dangerous friends. Look at the horizontal volume map, it clearly says that you can't break the sidewall down. Under it there is a void up to $70000. Speaking in general, even such a deep correction will not cancel the concept of a growth cycle. But the alts are now lying so low, some of them literally at the last support before collapsing into the abyss, that this scenario is simply not believable.

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spoil the mood? bitcoin wallet that has remained untouched since its inception on May 17, 2012, has suddenly come to life, transferring 204.46 BTC - now valued at $21.4 million - for the first time in nearly 13 years.

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BTC/USD. Looks like the reversal was successful. It succeeded on the date of the marked extremum. It is important for buyers to pass the 105K zone for a solid bullish takeover. Waiting

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I'm not in the mood for trading scripts today. Tomorrow.

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Top 1- AI-agents by price growth over 7 days The top is led by the EDWIN token, which rose more than 1,300% in a week. The rest of the tokens from the top: - RELIGN - AINTI (neat, maybe they've been hacked) - RENA - Levels - BALDI - CHARM - AETHER - SANWICH - TOSHI

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hello everyone, the DOGE ETF has gotten closer to reality. Bitwise Asset Management has just filed a corresponding application with the SEC. This did not help DOGE quotes: the price jumped for only two minutes and then returned to a downtrend

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On VTS, I have yet to see a single metric that says the growth cycle is over. Almost all of them signal that we are somewhere in the middle of an uptrend relative to previous bullruns. Here, for example, short- and medium-term investors now hold 50.2% of the VTS supply. During the peaks of previous growth cycles, this value was in the range of 74-85%. This is an unambiguous signal that there is still room for growth. And the growth potential is quite serious In other words, long-term holders have not yet unloaded their positions.

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Check your $DEGEN stats

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Talk about the altcoin season? Here, analysts have estimated that the number of altcoins has surpassed the 36,000,000 mark. Yes, 36 million, versus 3,000-4,000 in the 2017-2018 altcoin season. That's such a big difference that you can no longer expect a classic alt season. Classic is when ALL grows and gives a lot of X's. Now a lot of Xs can only give individual coins and still need to try hard to find them. The time of free money is long past. Now those who make deep analysis, study new things and are ready to take risks will earn money.

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Watching the reaction at current levels, we can potentially start buying short-term, but netting (with the possibility of down to 5% on VTS).

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Will a Chinese startup crash the U.S. market?😎 Trump's show is quite a spectacle, but even it managed to tire the audience. To somehow cheer up the crowd, major media outlets spread panic over another ChatGPT killer - the Chinese Deepseek. My guess is that just like the election, this infomercial will play out and be forgotten. The main thing for us is that the market was dragged up by the idea of AI. The slightest failure and a collapse is inevitable. There will be failures in the future as well. Market failures of 3-5-10% are quite possible. We just have to be prepared for it.

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@semerka OP The correction in the asset continues The coin repeatedly tried to break through the resistance slope, but all attempts ended in failure, as the buyer shows clear weakness. The situation with high dominance of BTC also complicates the realization of the reversal formation. We have gone under the sliding + the cloud has inverted. I am waiting for the continuation of the decline, as there are no factors for the change of trend yet. Targets: $1.5433 - $1.4216 - $1.2984 Stop: $1.8172

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@semerka Advisors The main rule of a trader is not to look for confirmation of your thought-out scenario from anyone. And usually it happens like this: you have done your research, made your markup, measured cycles and found a successful setup, you are confident in it. And then the magic starts, the setup is thrown into the chat room and clowning starts from the flow of hypotheses, opinions, and you are not only not sure in your trade, but you can do exactly the opposite. As time passes, you watch your trade go through without your participation according to your scenario and you learn an important lesson as a trader. The only correct plan is yours alone, you don't need advice on trades from those who stand in the stack against you.

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@semerka Peak and end of cycle in crypto expected this year. Keeping an eye on Trump's rhetoric, news about US crypto reserves and the acceptance of new funds into altcoins. The cherry on the cake would be the entry of US pension and real estate funds into crypto. As BlackRock rightly said, their arrival would give huge money to crypto. But will their coming in this cycle? I'm not sure, it would be too fat. But for this one, I will leave bitcoin itself and not sell it in this cycle, unlike the alts. We are coming to the end of the 4 year cycle. The climax is near. Soon we will be treated to an incredible show with the insane growth of alts and cries of the almighty bitcoin. At the peak of this show, BlackRock will be mercilessly unloaded on hamsters.

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@semerka No change here. Bitcoin continues to hold above $100k. For the last 5 days, the price has been squeezed in the range of $100-107k: As long as the price is trading above $96500, the advantage remains on the buying side. I am still in favor of BTC growth 🎯 The targets are the same: 119730 - $121000$ and 138560 - 140000$

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@semerka The inauguration followed a moderately positive scenario. Quotes are rising, the capitalization of the entire crypto market has so far added +2.17%, alts +1.9% (TRUMP and MELANIA are feeling so-so). Directly about crypto, Trump did not say anything, however, there was no collapse in prices. Moreover, as a result of the ceremony, quotes even went up on small timeframes. Solana, which has been declining for the last 24 hours, has shot up +5% and continues to grow. In general, the traders remain "on the positive" and judging by Coinglass statistics, the retail segment has already got into longs again. ➡️ Now we are back to the usual routine, where macroeconomic indicators will rule the agenda. Trump emphasized inflation in his speech, so the Fed is unlikely to take any chances with too rapid a rate cut. This is a potential threat to all markets.

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@semerka Let's break down #TRUMP. No signals today, let's talk about Trump's meme. It's basically a precedent as the head of the largest country launches his meme, but come on - his wife also launched her meme today 🤣🤣🤣🤣 Laws - nah, haven't heard. Buying it now is fine BUT you have to realize that any statement Trump makes regarding the war, economy, politics, etc. will affect the rate of the asset. Support something bad - get -30% on your meme. I'm not even talking about the fact that 80% of the issue is stupidly on his wallet. Yes, there is a blocking period for 3 years, but the first coins will be unblocked after 3 months + who said that another 10% - 15% of the issue are not lying on other controlled wallets. In general, pure chaos in the market.

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