semerka💓

@semerka

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434 Followers

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The Economist's new cover story for May 17-23 - crypto meets swamp, why it won't end well. As long as the coins are gold and everything is green - I'm fine with it. No swans on the horizon.

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Principles to help you avoid obsessing over profits: 1. Think of your deposit as 100%, not as a sum of money 2. Do not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose 3. measure success not by the amount of profit, but by the growth of professionalism Even losing periods bring valuable profits in the form of experience and skills. But because of the obsession with money, many people miss such experience, for which they pay with their deposit. Consider the statistics of your trades, not your profits

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Why does a focus on money prevent a trader from developing? Beginners come to trading with a strong focus on profit: they mentally spend their expected earnings, set unrealistic profitability goals and experience every loss painfully They all make the same mistake - they start counting profits before they are actually made. As soon as they open a deal, they start calculating in their heads: "if the price reaches my take profit, I will earn $200... and if I do this every day, I will earn $4000 in a month". The paradox is that excessive focus on money hinders the learning process and stable development. A trader who has pre-spent profits in his mind experiences double disappointment if the market does not meet expectations: he loses not only money, but also the illusion of expected reward.

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TIA Looking good on the spot The asset is almost at its all-time low, which is quite nice to dial in a position on it. The coin is not bad, but it has undergone a market-wide correction, but I think it will be able to show good movement in the medium term. The growth potential is in the area of 6$ - 7$, which is 150% - 200% of net movement. As usual I recommend to leave a part of funds for payoff, as the market is still complex, do not need to load everything and at once.

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Actual capa distribution looks like this: Bitcoin 64.9% Ether 7.5% Alta tops 12.2% Stables 7.4% Non-top 8%. Until something big from the top 10 goes, the bitcoin will continue to eat at the expense of others. We are only one green stick away from the alt season, don't forget. Usdt even though they are minting a billion every week, the % of stables is still low in the big picture.

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The debate about whether the USDT printing or the uptrend is primary will go on forever. But the fact is that we have +$1 yard from Tether, and the chart suggests that the stagnation period may already be behind us!

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BTC.D Domination has started to decline? No trades today as the market is as controversial as possible. Let's have a better look at BTC dominance and its potential. We see the formation of a double top and a bearish takeover. The downside potential is good - to the area of the upper boundary of the ascending triangle at 61% - 61.3%. But it is difficult to forecast further, as we may see a third top, we may see a return to the triangle and its breakdown into shorts. There is a scenario and exit from the current 65% to form a Head and Shoulders, but it is too early to say. In any case, we can use a correction now. Let's wait and see.

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Bitcoin is attempting a strong weekly candle close - a bullish engulfment. The whole structure looks promising, but there is nothing to be happy about yet. The main problem for the markets now is Trump and his unpredictable actions. In particular, the situation with duties is threatening. If they and China do not stop escalating, there are risks of a new market meltdown. For VTS in particular, it threatens a potential decline to $70000. But if the circumstances are favorable, we can go above 90000. The main idea: not everything depends on technique, fundamental factors may interfere. But if you take only the technical side, the prospects are good

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ETH The situation in the asset is quite sad The asset has fallen far below $2,000 and is trading near $1,400, however, this decline was quite predictable. Many people are expressing negativity towards the asset, but I still believe in its potential and think that now is a good time to buy it. I allow further correction of the asset to the area of 1.100$, so you can throw a limit there, and from the current ones you can take half of the funds that you can allocate to the asset. Targets: 2.200$ - 3.000$ - 4.000$

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What needs to happen for cryptocurrency's explosive growth? The US printing press In just one year of the pandemic (2020), $6.3 trillion was printed. To understand - about the same amount was released into the market in 10 years - from 2010 to 2020! This amount of money helped the U.S. economy survive the last crisis. There is a good chance that the US government will soon resume printing money to save the country from recession. This will be the trigger for a serious growth of the crypto market. Of course, everything will have to be paid for. That's why I expect we will still see a 2000 or 2008 level crisis after this growth. The game goes on. 2025 will be a defining year.

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You want some advice? Belief in HODL, in my opinion, is better complemented by a rational approach and not stretched over a lifetime. Yes, you won't sell on the highs, but at least you won't sit in drawdowns for several years. In this sense, it is better to work like big players, who have accumulation phases (during the bear and the beginning of the bull) and distribution phases (during the bull and the beginning of the bear). Whales, by the way, also do not sell everything at the very highs and do not buy at the very lows, as it is simply impossible to determine the exact levels of the best prices. You can only get lucky with this

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How not to lose money on futures even if the market goes against us? The most dangerous thing we can do when trading futures is to underestimate the risks. Let's break them down in more detail. "I'll Leverage" Many people trade on borrowed money without realizing that losses can grow as fast as potential profits. "I'll put an automatic stop loss" And here random market movements can easily knock you out of a trade, because it's not always useful. "I don't take volatility into account" Misjudging market fluctuations will cost money, even if the original forecast was correct.

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How to avoid mistakes when trading futures Let's start with the "trend following" strategy. Everything is clear here: you open a long position when the market goes up and a short position when it goes down. But there are a few key points that you need to know so that the strategy brings profits and not losses. Mistake 1: entering "on intuition" Enter a trade without waiting for trend confirmation, hoping that the market is "about to" go in the right direction. How to avoid: use technical indicators to confirm the direction of price movement. Mistake 2: ignoring risks You open too large positions, risking to lose more than you can afford. How to avoid: set stop losses. Develop a strategy, for example, don't risk more than 2-3% of your capital per trade. Mistake 3: neglecting emotions Fear or greed can easily influence your decisions: if the trend is in your direction, you want more profit, but during a correction you hold your position when you should have exited.

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I would like to believe that this is the drop-off we have been waiting for, yet not wanting. You have to be extremely careful about buying coins right now

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The crypto market is very boring right now, very tiring. Nothing much is happening, we have been in a sideways trend for months.... It often happens in this market, we consolidate, we wait for a long time. Then at one moment, often even without any news, a sharp growth of 30-100% upwards, and sometimes even more, if we are talking about alts. Whales and funds have done a complete cleanup of the market before the main start. The only thing left to do is to wait for the launch. Everything is ready, they are waiting for the right moment to launch the euphoria.

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Different technical analysis tools work well in different phases of the market. In the active, impulsive phase, the Fibonacci retracement and dynamic support and resistance lines work well. In the capitulation phase and sideways movements historical support and resistance levels work best, dynamic lines work worse. These comparisons can be made further, and the main message is the volatility of the market, which a trader should always keep in mind. There are no universal and all-weather tools, there is a large arsenal, which you need to be able to juggle, choosing the best for today. It's called experience.

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LDO I am waiting for another decline in the asset. The coin showed a slight growth, but it failed to break through the moving MA200 and most likely it will lead to another drawdown. There are few chances to consolidate above MA50 + volumes to buy have started to decrease. I am waiting for another wave of decline with pushing to the support at $1.3980. Targets: $1.6420 - $1.5110 - $1.3980. Stop: $1.9090

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Eth is in the buying zone The only top that did not rebound looks interesting, because it came back to the accumulation zone, where it was before the previous powerful impulse. It is possible to buy with insurances.

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Now there is maximum divergence in the transactions of whales and hamsters. Whales are buying coins at maximum rate while hamsters are scared and selling. Whales ignore the noise and chaos. Hamsters everywhere write that crypto is dead, there will be no alt season, and the peak of this cycle has already passed. At the same time, the Fear and Greed Index has again rolled back to the level: Fear. The most interesting thing is that with such panic sentiment, bitcoin is still holding around $100,000. And what will happen to it with the euphoria and faith of hamsters in crypto? The exchange rate will be much higher than it is now!

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UNI, SUI, ENА All are somewhere on supports and have potential of growth from current ones. But the market is very weak and I don't want to buy anything. It's up to you, I decided to buy some of the current ones. It's a little unsettling.

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