republican voters identify as republicans. 

sun, rain or snow, they'll vote republican. 

doesn't even matter who the candidate is.

democrat voters don't identify as democrats.

they either identify as progressives or not-republicans.

and there's no guarantee they'll show up.

Not sure the exact specificity of terminology here, but disagree.

2008, 2012, 2016, 2020 the broad left showed up more for the Democrat more than the broad right showed up for the Republican.

Splinter groups on the right were very divided in these years, whereas everybody from center left to communists showed up both for Obama and against Trump. 

2024 this might have changed, and might have been different before this, not sure

So where I disagree is that there’s a huge difference in splinter groups on the right showing up vs splinter groups on the left. 

But I agree that a lot of typical Dem voters do not identify as Dems but it’s rhetorical. They just want to be seen as cool so they identify as progressive or socialist or communist or whatever but it’s just for vibes

I write about tech + humans + philosophy. Farcaster OG. FID 3305 founder of /theindex 

https://www.joanwestenberg.com/

Yeah I think this is where terminology gets weird. I’m assuming this is % registered in the party that ended up turning out to vote?

In 2016, 90% of Republicans supported Trump. In 2024, it was 92%. Dem support for their candidate was 89% in 2016, decreasing to 85% in 2024.