July pfp
July
@july
In order to reach a trillion we will have to get off earth alone, that alone is sure. So let’s assume that we will not die, and keep growing. We’re doubling about every 50yrs 2075: 8 B to 16 B (50 years) 2125: 16 B to 32 B (100 yrs) 2175: 32 B to 64 B (150 yrs) … 2425: ~1 trillion (400 years)
7 replies
12 recasts
56 reactions

Royal pfp
Royal
@royalaid.eth
TL;DR: Give me a log plot Counter point, most exponential projections are just one half (the bottom half) of a logistics curve. Given declining birth rates in the West and in general across the world as human labor no longer becomes the dominating force in our ability to provide economic value (robots to the work) coupled with the fact the we will, in time, legitimately solve death (probably within your projected timeline) leading to even more downward pressure to have kids as replacement rate will only be subject to environmental deaths why would you assume we keep growing like we have been?
1 reply
0 recast
3 reactions

July pfp
July
@july
I agree - humans as we not it might be the end of a logistics curve, but maybe it might be the start of new kinds of humans - might just turn this into a blog post to explore if I have the time to dive deeper into it
1 reply
0 recast
1 reaction