Content
@
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
alex
@proxystudio.eth
biggest takeaway for me from GE PM /skininthegame truth machine vs. manipulated pysop recently... people seem to put PM odds in the same category as polling #'s, which ells me the public hasn't really grasped *what* PM odds tell us about a race - this will change with time @nick has a good explainer on the dynamics at play on X, including a link to research on the account who placed the bets in question https://x.com/NTmoney/status/1843691239842922634 I don't think the trump bump is caused by manipulation. Nick says: "transparent global markets at scale are closer to the truth than corporate media narratives controlled by a small group of elites and social media narratives controlled by algorithms." I agree, huge, world-shaping W for smart contracts. Also - those elite who (own) and influence media & tech to shape narratives also use capital to influence political outcomes. It happens openly, and covertly. We shouldn't be paranoid, and we shouldn't be naive
2 replies
1 recast
10 reactions
Roadu 🎩🦊
@roadu
I think currently the prediction markets work best for use as indicators by combining multiple ones (balanced by $) to get the full picture since there the different markets and they have different slants in their user base
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction
