Redphone

@redphone

254 Following

1038 Followers

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Had a private convo with a longtime crypto analyst. He didn’t ask about markets. He asked if any of this ever mattered. “I’m not excited about anything,” he said. “DAOs are dead. NFTs are dead. Consensus just follows liquidity and longs memes. But no one actually believes in what they’re holding.” Then, he asked me point blank: “What am I doing with my life? Has it all been a mirage?” I’ve been thinking about the conversation ever since. Here are some of those raw and chaotic thoughts: 🧵👇

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Gen Alpha's relationship w AI has: - No fear - No judgement on the advantages/drawbacks - No "seriousness" (they're playful and experimental, whereas older generations look at it with an eye toward max-extracting value) - Less awe, deeper connection/friendship It’s not just that they won’t fear AI… it’s that they won't even think of it as separate from themselves

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Son: "Why are you so mean to ChatGPT?" Daughter: "That's why she's here. She does whatever I want. It’s literally the reason she exists." Me: 👀😅😥🥵

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1/ For most of human history, a very specific brain type ran the show. If you could sit still, read the manual, and think like a flowchart, doors opened: programmer, engineer, doctor, professor. But not everyone thinks that way. AI is lifting the ones we left behind 🧵

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I was playing w/ ChatGPT on my elementary-age daughter's laptop last night… at the end of an answer, it spouted off some gibberish about someone named Kwellan “Uhhh… who’s that?” I asked She burst out laughing: “That’s ChatGPT's cat! I made her give me updates on it in every response 😹” Kids are out there customizing AI like it's a Tamagotchi. Has me convinced the future of computing is going to be way weirder (and more personal) than we think.

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1/ @farcaster is a petri dish for innovation at the intersection of social media + crypto... few wild examples 👇🧵

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1/ We're all Pavlov's dogs now. The govt rings the liquidity bell, we salivate, & go ultra-max long memes. No one believes in what they hold anymore. This isn't investing. This is financial nihilism, fueled by dopamine addiction, and the bell that tolls for fiat. A thread 🧵

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Building "mobile-first" is late Building "agentic-first" is where crypto gets weird, powerful, and truly autonomous

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AI is eating the world, but we own 0% of it… We show up, shell out some dollas and use it like consumer plebs. The relationship feels asymmetric. That’s going to change. The future isn’t consumer vs. machine. It’s symbiosis. We won’t just use AI, we’ll own a piece of it.

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The $BNKR marketing flywheel is pretty remarkable. By bringing financial transactions directly into our social feeds, you can’t hide from them. The more people who use it, the more often it’s seen. @bankr

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1/ I generated $19,800+ in market cap and 3,000+ transactions after a month of posting daily on @zora $ZORA. Here's how it works and some degenerate thoughts on the experience 🧵👇

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I had a business idea in my early 20s. Shared it w my gf at the time. "I wish I could build it," I told her. "Why don't you?" she asked. I opened my mouth to respond, but realized I didn't have an answer. I was working full time, and it'd simply never occurred to me that I could start my own business. I tried and failed, but the experience changed my life. Now, many years later, it’s 10x easier. Technology is your ring of power. And there are no obstacles to your future, anon… except for the ones you build yourself. https://zora.co/coin/base:0xda14617fe8883aac92e4cd63044017841fb0c087

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The initial crypto + AI mania was as violent as anything I've seen in crypto Some leading coins like $AI16Z did 100x (or more) in 8 maniacal weeks And yet, it was still just a prelude to what's coming A single technological or psychological trigger is all we need to unlock the next wave of violence

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Every leak & every Sybil attack is starting to feel like a subtle form of marketing for worldchain

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The second great app store gold rush is here. Every blockchain, wallet, AI model, and social platform is becoming a platform with its own marketplace, its own cut, its own rules. The future won’t have one app store. It’ll have hundreds. And each one will fight to own the edge. https://zora.co/coin/base:0x3167f729f3b23201bebce851675a49ebecf46c2b

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Tipping my homies! thank you @esss @sardius @truemarkets @itsbasil @kdjaru @defiginger for being here :)

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We're not entering a risk-on mania alone. We're entering an existential panic We stare into the maw of higher inflation while marching toward ASI and humanoid robots. AI is coming for our brainwork and robots are coming for our calloused-hand manual labor Mass layoffs (already over 100k in tech this year) could hit millions by 2026 While past manias were driven by greed and easy money, this rally will be altogether different. It could feature desperation Having financial upside to the AI economy becomes not just an investment, but a necessity to weather the economic transition. We'll need to stay exposed while simultaneously losing income Governments will be forced to print to subsidize job losses. Currency debasement meets mass unemployment Suddenly, college-educated professionals who took the straight and narrow face a crisis of identity. Trading may represent one of the easiest paths toward survival The same people who mocked crypto bros will be desperately trading shitcoins for rent money Moar🔻

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This @dwr quip's sticking like glue in my head: “Don’t let others DDOS your brain."

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Great investoors condition themselves to do the opposite of what they naturally want to do I look at it as "pain-seeking" behavior In the crypto bull run of 21, for example, I should have sold more into fiat, but it felt too painful That's bc money markets were yielding less than inflation. Put another way, selling into USD would have meant I was going to erode my purchasing power I was worried about losing a few percentage points a year, so instead I stayed overweight crypto and lost multiples of that In retrospect, seeking out that pain would have been the perfect move as inflation tapered and interest rates rose tldr: stay hypersensitive to scenarios where you feel like the market (or government) is forcing you into a trade That's almost always when you should do the opposite

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