Content
@
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
Potplucker
@potplucker
Ah6c on the big blind facing a 3bb raise from the small blind. With just over 200 hands villain seems to be sort of tight passive. Do we fold, call or raise?
4 replies
0 recast
0 reaction
Potplucker
@potplucker
We called preflop. Went check, check on the flop. Small blind bet large size of 70% pot on the turn. We called. Then villain check raises the river.... now what?
1 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
Potplucker
@potplucker
Thank you for replies. I did call. As can be seen by the pot odds above, to call the risk only needs to be good 25.9% of the time. The 2 pair top kicker hand AAJJK is likely to be the best hand at least 1 in 4 times to break even. Yes, it loses to villain holding any J or Q, KK, TT and AK. Also yes, the spot is likely under bluffed with a check raise. The villain image leans good imo, but only a 211 hand sample. So, probably not going to value own themselves with a check raise of a worse hand. But they also might be good enough to run a low risk check raise seeking folds when they miss draws. Hard to know for sure. Calling works by trusting the math of the spot. Still, those that found the fold would have been correct for this isolated spot. If can make the correct exploitative fold on a consistent basis then that saves chips. But how much value is being lost over the long term? Is trusting the gut going to win out over the math in the long game?
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
