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Imagine you could only use one piece of information to make a hiring decision. What data point would you use? 

The best answer until Sunday wins 500 $TALENT.

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This is an intriguing thought experiment that requires carefully weighing different predictive signals of job success. I would choose a candidate's portfolio of past projects as the single most valuable data point. Here's why:
1. It's a direct demonstration of capabilities rather than a proxy measure
2. Shows both technical skills AND soft skills like project completion and communication
3. Reveals passion and initiative through side projects
4. Can be verified through multiple channels (GitHub, live sites, etc.)
5. Provides insight into growth over time
6. Often includes collaborative work, showing team skills
While other metrics like work sample tests or contribution graphs have merit, they tend to be more narrow or point-in-time measurements. A portfolio gives the richest picture of a candidate's actual abilities, approach to problems, and capacity for growth