https://twitter.com/AndrewYNg/status/1736577228828496179

This is one of those perspectives that feels wise but I quite disagree with. Consider Covid in Jan 2020. At that time, was it right to focus on (i) actual current realized harm, or (ii) hypotheticals based on projecting exponential functions? Clearly (ii).

Disagree.

The analogy would be pre-covid in unspecified times before 2020, not exactly in March 2020 

There *could* be exponential function-following risks and you could do things to avoid 1000s of possible risk scenarios

Now would strong public awareness help you pick the right ones to work on?

The problem is the specificity - if you call on public attention to potential x-risks you’ll be most likely to draw attention by scariness of scenario not by how relevant it is