Salvino Armati ↑
@salvino
the performance of the S&P 500 in the 3mo before the election has predicted 87% of elections since 1928 and 100% since 1984 when returns were positive, the incumbent party tends to win If the index suffered losses in the three-month window, the incumbent tends to lose
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nikhil
@nik
so clock starts today — what’s the start price? 5120? I think the s&p has a pretty good shot at being above that mark in 3 months
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