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Matt Garcia
@mattgarcia.eth
Why AI enthusiasts are panicking that AI has reached a plateau. They were spoiled by perceived ultraspeed (🔴) during the initial 5 months (Nov'22 GPT-3.5 — March'23 GPT-4), quickly moving from 0 to level-3 paradigm to level-4 paradigm. That led them to inflated expectations: "AGI next year". And since those expectations were not met, they are now starting to believe that AI has stalled or reached diminishing returns.
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Max Miner
@mxmnr
Tbh feels like a swing at dunking on AI enthusiasts more than an honest commentary on AI plateaus. Which if that was your aim, ok cool, ignore the rest of this. If not: Yes there is a plateau, for many knowable and unknowable reasons. But no one is “panicking” about AI plateauing. Plateaus are a normal part of innovation and change—it’s called an S-curve for a reason. For any serious AI enthusiast, there’s zero expectation of AGI ‘next year’. All predictions for ASI/AGI are many years away.
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