miro𓆣
@miroyato
The information markets (Polymarket & Kalshi) completely mispredicted the new pope Speaks to the actual secrecy of the Conclave
3 replies
6 recasts
47 reactions
Leo
@leosn.eth
Damn I could have made bank here I was confident it would be the American
1 reply
0 recast
3 reactions
Lukas
@pita
Been noticing lately a lot of markets where traders mispredict. I think the reality is that prediction markets are often attention markets, which sometimes correlate with the real outcome
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction
vrypan |--o--|
@vrypan.eth
Great point.
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction