shazow
@shazow.eth
It's 2025 and I still hear doomers saying that AI is already reducing the cost of producing deadly viruses by an order of magnitude. Is there any actual example of AI making any kind of physical manufacturing substantially cheaper, faster, or more accessible to individuals rather than large teams? I have so many physical production wants that are just too hard for me to do still, tell me my wait is over! I dream of the day when I can take a physical product like a tablet, and with minimal expertise redesign the enclosure that I can transplant into (e.g. into one with hinges that I can place into my framework laptop). Or redesign the keyboard layout and get it manufactured at small scale. Spent a couple days on a CNC project with a friend battling with Fusion 360, AI was no help at all. I'm sure we'll get there some day and AI-assisted modeling like Zoo is becoming a thing but that's not actually material for production yet.
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maurelian
@maurelian.eth
I got you: https://warpcast.com/july/0xcfa9f92f
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shazow
@shazow.eth
Yes! I've seen these, and I've also seen "AI creating new kinds of aerodynamic structures we haven't considered" and others. Lots of lovely theoretical discoveries that I'm sure will be put in practice with improved outputs. But what I haven't seen: "We produce a physical product that used to cost X to make, and thanks to AI it now costs X/2"
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maurelian
@maurelian.eth
well... I mean, cost is relative to performance right? so here there is a new chip that's better than any other chip. And they made/tested it, so they can manufacture it. It might be more expensive now, but that will come down.
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shazow
@shazow.eth
Ehhh I mean that may be true but I don't think that's the analogous metric. Doomers aren't saying that a team of 1000 scientists with billion dollar labs are going to be able to make a virus 20% more deadly thanks to AI. They're saying it'll be a team of 10 with a million dollars (or someday 1 with thousands).
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