LEVIN 🎩

@levingood

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Tariff "Nuclear Bomb" Ignites Global Chaos, Commodities Collapse Policy Shock: Trump’s April 2 announcement of a 10% baseline tariff on all trading partners—with rates as high as 49% for some nations—sparked fears of global supply chain ruptures. Retaliatory tariffs worldwide amplified volatility, stoking fears of stagflation. Commodity Meltdown: WTI crude crashed below 60/barrel(4−yearlow),goldfellunder 60/barrel(4−yearlow),goldfellunder3,000, copper plunged 8% in a day, and traditional safe havens like the yen faltered. Market Chaos Far From Over: What’s Next for Investors? Wall Street’s Gloom: Analysts warn that prolonged tariffs could slash S&P 500 profits by one-third, cripple private fundraising, and trigger a corporate bankruptcy wave. Policy Countdown: U.S. Commerce Secretary confirmed tariffs will take effect on April 9. Markets cling to hopes of an 11th-hour reversal, but the White House remains defiant.

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Crypto "Safe Haven Myth" Shatters, 280,000 Traders Wiped Out Bitcoin Plunge: Bitcoin tumbled 7% in 24 hours, briefly dipping below 77,000,whileEthereumcrashed1277,000,whileEthereumcrashed12877 million in crypto positions were liquidated in a single day, leaving 280,000 investors trapped in a "long squeeze." U.S. Treasury Secretary Bassett’s earlier claim that Bitcoin is "the new gold" backfired as skepticism grows over crypto’s避险属性 (safe-haven appeal). On-Chain Data Divergence: Despite the crash, long-term holders remain steadfast, with Bitcoin reserves on exchanges declining. Stablecoin market caps rose against the trend, signaling potential bargain-hunting.

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Global Financial Markets in Turmoil: Crypto and U.S. Stocks Plunge in "Bloodbath" Within 24 Hours, Tariff Storm Triggers Historic Sell-Off U.S. Stocks Crash to Record Lows, Panic Echoes 2008 Crisis Market Collapse: Following two consecutive days of steep declines last week, U.S. stock futures opened sharply lower on April 7, with Nasdaq futures plunging over 5%, S&P 500 futures down nearly 5%, and Dow futures dropping 3.7%. In just two days, $6.6 trillion in market value evaporated, marking the worst quarterly start since 2008. The Nasdaq has entered a technical bear market (down over 20% from its peak). Recession Alarm: JPMorgan raised the probability of a U.S. recession to 60%, while Goldman Sachs warned of a 35% chance within the next 12 months. Analysts caution that prolonged "reciprocal tariffs" under Trump’s policies could push both the U.S. and Europe into recession.

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Wishing you a pleasant weekend.

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[BTC's Position in Liquidation Hierarchy] The cryptocurrency demonstrates similar dynamics with extended response latency. BTC's 30% correction (11k→8k+) preceded traditional market turmoil. Current risk: Further market deterioration could trigger: Primary liquidation target: Gold reserves Secondary liquidation target: BTC positions [Critical Monitoring Parameters] BTC ETF flows: Accelerating net outflows (>$500M/week) would signal institutional deleveraging CME futures basis: Contango narrowing below 5% indicates weakening institutional demand [Risk Management Protocol] Leverage prohibition: Eliminate futures/contract exposure immediately DCA Implementation: Deploy capital in 5-7 tranches across 20%+ drawdown thresholds Liquidity preservation: Maintain 40%+ cash reserves for potential black swan events

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[Visual Analysis: Parallels Between SP500 & BTC Market Behavior] Attached are comparative charts showing: Top: SP500 Index trajectory (Feb-Mar 2020) Bottom: BTC price movement (Feb-Mar 2020) Key Observations: While BTC exhibited amplified volatility (theoretically 2%+ drop per 1% SP500 decline), it maintained relative resilience until the March 12 (312) liquidity crisis. This decoupling pattern warrants attention in current market conditions. [Cross-Asset Liquidation Mechanics] Q: Why did gold - the traditional safe haven - decline during the crash? A: Two primary drivers: Industrial Demand Factor: Gold's use in electronics manufacturing created tariff-induced supply chain pressures Margin Call Dominance: Institutional liquidations forced leveraged positions to unwind, making gold (high liquidity asset) first casualty for cash raising. Long-term gold fundamentals remain intact.

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Gold’s Path: Technicalsupportat3,050amissmaydrivepricestowardtheall−timehighof 3,050—amissmaydrivepricestowardtheall−timehighof3,167; a beat could trigger short-term pullbacks, but geopolitics and rate-cut expectations underpin mid-term upside. Wild Cards: Trump’s tariff threats and South Korea’s political turmoil fuel safe-haven demand, while wage growth and data revisions may amplify swings.

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Preview: Key Market Dynamics Tonight’s U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) data release (expected: +135K jobs, unemployment rate steady at 4.1%) will trigger market volatility, with the following critical narratives: Data Divergence: Forecasts vary widely—Citi predicts job gains as low as 95K, Nomura expects unemployment to rise to 4.2%, while high-frequency data hints at a potential surprise up to 200K. Bull vs. Bear Logic: Pessimists: Weak data (<100K jobs) reinforces recession fears, boosting rate-cut bets (gold rallies); moderate data (~140K) may signal a temporary rebound, but sticky wage inflation could delay Fed easing. Optimists: Strong data (>200K) lifts risk assets short-term, though tariff risks and economic cracks cap dollar gains; a drop in unemployment could shift focus to economic resilience.

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Market Snapshot BTC: $82k Asian markets tanked (Japan -4%, Korea -3%) All eyes on April 2nd US tariff decision – 10x bigger than Trump election hype Strategy First support ($89k) broken. Next buy zone: 80k.Ifitcrashesto∗∗ 80k.Ifitcrashesto∗∗75k**, full send. DCA only – no reckless all-ins. Keep 30% cash for black swan events. Must-Buy List Chains: SOL, SUI (buy aggressively on deep dips) Oracle: LINK (essential Web3 backbone) RWA: ONDO (bridging real-world assets) Meme: DOGE (retail’s mood ring) Rules of Engagement Skip low-cap trash. Only coins with $500M+ daily volume. 2025 playbook: Buy less, hold harder. No portfolio flipping. Crash indicators: Gold price, CNY/USD rate, US Treasury yields. Final Move Load up bullets now. Start stacking below 80k.At80k.At75k, empty the clip. Buy when others bleed – but don’t turn greedy. Stay frosty. 🚀

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Gaby 🎩🎯 🍖

Hey @bracky, what's the market like? 🏀

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New Binance Wallet IDO Coming Soon?🔍 On-chain data suggests $KILO, the token of BSC-based perp DEX KiloEx (@KiloEx_perp), may launch an IDO shortly. Key evidence: Wallet invoked "Create IDO" method for $KILO 16hrs ago Same method successfully launched $PARTI's IDO 2 days prior Contract verification: 👉 bscscan.com/address/0xe0c...fb86

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Movement announced yesterday that it would use 38milIionfrommarketmakernetsalesproceedstorepurchase 38millionfrommarketmakernetsalesproceedstorepurchaseMOVE. They have already bought back 10 milliontokens(5.44M)onBinanceandtransferredthem toanon−chainaddress5hoursago.Followingthismove,theprceof5.44M)onBinanceandtransferredthemtoanon−chainaddress5hoursago.Followingthismove,thepriceofMOVE surged 29% (0.43→0.43→0.56). https://etherscan.io/token/0x3073f7aaa4db83f95e9fff17424f71d4751a3073?a=0xa14c8e3ebb2da43d027dc2c1b763387b9d59cace

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I was 9,877 km away from today's mystery location 📍. Can you beat me?

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Long-Term Risks Divergence in Creditor Behavior: Some creditors may hold BTC long-term, while others might choose to cash out. Market sentiment should be assessed in conjunction with on-chain data (e.g., net inflows to exchanges). Technical Support Levels If the BTC price falls below $65,000, it may trigger a wave of high-leverage position liquidations, exacerbating short-term volatility. Summary: Recent operations by Mt. Gox align with its compensation plan advancement model. The market must be vigilant of the combined effects of large-scale transfers and creditor sell-offs while monitoring on-chain address dynamics to anticipate price turning points.

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