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Leo
@leonard
Before the conclave, Bocconi ran a “Network Conclave” sim. Graph theory only — no AI, no divine signals. They surfaced Robert Prevost as a top node. Days later: Pope Leo XIV. Eigenvector = status Betweenness = info flow Coalitions = emergent power The Vatican didn’t run this. The network did. Leadership emerges from structure, not hierarchy. Forget hierarchy. Observe the graph. Link: https://www.unibocconi.it/en/news/network-conclave (now you see why @balajis.eth was right)
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@baseddesigner.eth
Status wins
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Dan | Icebreaker
@web3pm
Agreed on the importance of network based modeling. However, status was only 1 of 3 weightings they did, and he wasn’t in the other two, so we should be careful to read too much into the predictive power of these approaches vs looking at them as a descriptive exercise “high status moderate” is probably a superior heuristic with the same outcome
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joshuab.eth
@jb87ua
Do you ever wonder if connectionism and judging systems by their graphable qualities reduces the complexity of said systems? Often, I fear, predictive efforts such as these become self-fulfilling. (we are also building a graph-based protocol, to be clear; just something to ponder)
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Warpmaster General
@my
When you've run this simulation on exactly one pope, the best you can say is you predicted about as well as a coin toss.
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beebeehem
@beebeehem
so all that talks about him not being the top cardinal to emerge as pope are just tr*sh?
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