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Giuliano Giacaglia pfp
Giuliano Giacaglia
@giu
The delinquency rate on commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) for offices spiked to 8.1% in July, the highest in 11 years.
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Just Build
@justbuild
Commercial real estate is one of those big dominoes that have been waiting to fall since Covid and along with it a lot regional banks. This is a huge crack in the wall. Get ready for a big bail out.
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Sunny
@sunnysangwan
There are a lot of dominoes that seem like a gentle push away from going kaput
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Just Build
@justbuild
Yeah, but CRE has been teetering on collapse for a long ass time and there are so many regionals (big banks too, but esp them) that have HUGE unrealized losses on their books because their commercial urban centers have collapsed due to the lack of demand for office space, We could be seeing another epic FED intervention, as a brrrrrrrrrr situation will be needed even as its slashing rates.
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Sunny
@sunnysangwan
πŸ’― the damage to city and state budgets would be catastrophic in addition to the banks
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