July
@july
In order to reach a trillion we will have to get off earth alone, that alone is sure. So let’s assume that we will not die, and keep growing. We’re doubling about every 50yrs 2075: 8 B to 16 B (50 years) 2125: 16 B to 32 B (100 yrs) 2175: 32 B to 64 B (150 yrs) … 2425: ~1 trillion (400 years)
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July
@july
It’s really unpredictable and unprecedented to have this many people. We have so many people it’s insane. I don’t think I comprehend what this exponential increase in humans means
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Royal
@royalaid.eth
TL;DR: Give me a log plot Counter point, most exponential projections are just one half (the bottom half) of a logistics curve. Given declining birth rates in the West and in general across the world as human labor no longer becomes the dominating force in our ability to provide economic value (robots to the work) coupled with the fact the we will, in time, legitimately solve death (probably within your projected timeline) leading to even more downward pressure to have kids as replacement rate will only be subject to environmental deaths why would you assume we keep growing like we have been?
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Justin Hunter
@polluterofminds
How many people do you think earth can reasonably sustain? Reasonable meaning the majority is not in poverty
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Adam
@adam-
All I can think about in response to this is Goodhart's Law: “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.”
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sean
@swabbie.eth
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bashobits 🚅✨🔵💨🫐
@bashobits
it's a fascinating topic for predictions! my base case is humans never go beyond 10B, and might be at 8B or lower by 2100. autonomous robots on the other hand, could be growing exponentially. by 2050 we should have some clarity about these numbers either way, what a wild time to be alive!
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Mostafa 🎩
@mostafa1992
Wow 1t🤯
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