Copilot is great but I think the media overstates how much productivity gain it's giving software engineers. Let's just say it's true that it's writing ~50% of the code but it's not the same as only need half the size of engineering team - most of our time is spent on not writing code.

A lot of that time not coding isn't necessary for everyone. Copilot lets more experienced devs focus on architecture and optimization without needing as many junior devs to help. Other AI tools are accelerating the career development of junior devs. I think the end result is smaller eng teams doing more.

Head of Engineering at Courtyard.io, bringing physical collectibles onchain. nf.td/joe /courtyard /backend

I agree; anyone who says it's already happened everywhere is full of it. But I think it's starting now. My experience is that I'm able to write a ton more code than I was a year ago (pre-copilot) and I'm spending less time writing it (I manage a team now and was an IC a year ago)

No doubt that's the future but don't think it happened yet as it's often depicted. If it did, I'm curious to learn the exact workflow.

Anecdotally, I know a few friends said they don't need as many eng anymore, but once asked for details, they hired an excess amount of eng over the past few years vs AI.