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Ithaca Protocol

@ithacaprotocol

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Ithaca Protocol
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Ithaca Protocol
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📈Ithaca Protocol Market Update â–ș Powell playing hard to get , quoting Feris Bueler on ‘ Life moves pretty fast ’ and markets respond ‘ old school ’ ; stocks down, bonds up ( so much for ‘ China selling ’ , ‘ dollar losing reserve status ’ ; this trade gone for now ). The Fed will relent, it is a matter of when, not if â–ș Crypto holding well; last time it outperformed risk assets, it didn’t last â–ș Raydium dropping token launchpad as response to Pump.fun competing with their own DEX; maybe few months late or few months early, ie. no better time than now â–ș DWF Labs investing in WLFI; timeline is in the very low probability branch of the multiverse
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Ithaca Protocol
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📈Ithaca Protocol Market Update â–ș NVDA weakness, but market internals healing; bonds better as well as the dollar after 8 days ( both Bessent and Dimon in their own way support bond market ) â–ș Shein / Temu hiking prices. â–ș Global liquidity squeeze ( yes, the one on since Nov 2021 ) is turning around; hoold, hoold. â–ș @coffeebreak_YT for the updated interpretation on the rise and fall of OM price.
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Ithaca Protocol
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Ithaca Protocol
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📈Ithaca Protocol Market Update â–ș Markets slowly healing â–ș Fed ( as constantly foretold ) will start trial balloons about transitory nature of resign induced inflation â–ș Bessent ( correctly ) highlighting no sovereigns selling treasuries ( albeit US exceptionalism damaged ) â–ș Rates lower, Fed pricing cuts higher, MOVE lower, volumes -35% than 5d average ( that hit records ) â–ș Mantra aftermath; OTC deals that got liquidated in very sloppy fashion?
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Ithaca Protocol pfp
Ithaca Protocol
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Ithaca Protocol pfp
Ithaca Protocol
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Ithaca Spaces: Market Report âšĄïžNow Live on X https://x.com/i/spaces/1RDxlzwPbZRGL
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Ithaca Protocol pfp
Ithaca Protocol
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Ithaca Protocol
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Ithaca Protocol
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Ithaca Protocol pfp
Ithaca Protocol
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📈Ithaca Protocol Market Update â–ș Top of S&P book liquidity still < 2m$ vs 13m average; moves get exacerbated â–ș Much lower than expected CPI discounted due to upcoming tariffagedon ( we think, not so fast, it will be mostly level effects ) â–ș Strong 30yr UST auction, alleviating concerns, deleveraging still ongoing in treasuries; there is value here but US exceptionalism ship has sailed and the secular trend has broken and is now in reverse â–ș TGA ( US treasury’s checking account ) about to start feeling flush as tax season ends; liquidity injection always positive markets, April seasonality will show up â–ș On the opposite side of the ledger; Citi equity trading strategy indicator hit overbought conditions again and another 40 days of down moves open us ( Citi trading strategy always fashionably concerned and bearish )
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📈Ithaca Protocol Market Update â–ș Art of the deal on steroids. Tactics to be debated; long-term strategy (?) clearer â–ș Historic market moves; crucial to note 10y UST auction did well before Trump announcement â–ș Trump pre-announcing his move as a ‘ good day to buy’ ; he follows the bond market closely â–ș Still a big potential effective tax hike but with the Damocles sword hovering over market sentiment; fiscal boost by Congress a higher probability event â–ș With Trump’s KOL skills battered but mostly intact, he does need to help his son Eric whose ‘ ETH being a good buy at 2650$ ‘ tweet hasn’t aged well; watch him lending a hand here. This is not the time to short â–ș ⁠Market liquidity still bad in bonds, treasuries still cheap, flight to quality characteristics have been damaged, but there will be recovery â–ș ⁠GS reverted recession call within 73 mins, JP Morgan still calls for one
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Ithaca Protocol
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Ithaca Protocol
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📈Ithaca Protocol Market Update â–ș Tariffs on the way in the next few hours + escalation + imminent escalation on the escalation by China â–ș Korea / Japan following the Trump playbook â–ș There are no cheap hedges left, call spreads / put spreads the way; check @ithacaprotocol AI agents â–ș Will retail’s BTFD mentality get shaken / broken? That would be dangerous ( it happened in crypto already and everyone can witness the aftermath ) â–ș Top of SPX book liquidity lowest ever ( ~2m) (!), while volumes hit all time highs ( in shares traded no less ), explosive cocktail ( volatilities don’t mean the same when gamma harder to extract ) â–ș Interest in the unicorn; bearish steepening + dual binaries SPX down | Yields up â–ș Swap spreads explosive widening; major risk off canary, albeit not with similar properties as pre-2008
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Ithaca Protocol
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Ithaca Protocol
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Ithaca Protocol pfp
Ithaca Protocol
@ithacaprotocol
Ithaca Spaces: Market Report âšĄïžNow Live on X https://x.com/i/spaces/1DXGyqMOVVbGM
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Ithaca Protocol pfp
Ithaca Protocol
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