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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
Today’s diplomatic efforts in Jeddah may have successfully walked Iran back from retaliating against Israel, in return for a ceasefire in Gaza. I’m not sure this changes much, though. Netanyahu has signaled before his disinterest in a ceasefire, which he deems would only serve to rearm Hamas. This wouldn’t be a problem if Hamas had been eradicated by now, however Sinwar’s fresh appointment as its new political leader is a reminder that the mastermind of the Oct 7 attack is still at large. I can’t imagine Tsahal will turn back until he is captured or killed. Furthermore, the second largest escalation threat remains in the north, with Hezbollah still intent to strike Israel either on its own, or with Iran’s unofficial encouragement. If a direct conflict erupted between Israel and Hezbollah, Iran would not remain indifferent and we’d be back to square one. The region is not out of the woods yet
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Eylon 💨
@eylon.eth
There's a lot to unpack here.. Israel and the IDF might pause the war in Gaza, but make no mistake - they'll not give up the Philadelphi Corridor at the Egypt-Gaza border. The moment they do, Hamas will rearm and once again threaten Israeli civilians. It's that simple. Here's a picture of (1) a tunnel between Rafah and Egypt which can transport well, anything. Egypt said for years that no weapons will enter Gaza. The Northern Escalation is inevitable unfortunately, unless Iran is dismantled. Over the past 4 years Hezbollah has turned Lebanon into a militarized wasteland. From the infamous Beirut explosion, economic ruin, to mass exodus of Civilians. it's all thanks to Iran getting a $250 billion windfall from US sanction relief. (Note: The guy responsible for this, Robert Malley is being investigated for treason) The state of the middle east is: Muslim Terrorist are holding - 2 million people hostage in Gaza - 5 million people hostage in Lebanon - 88 million people hostage in Iran
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